Handicapping PAC 10 Expansion

My hunch is the Big 10 may expand, but the Pac 10 will likely wait this one out.

The Big 10 seems to be hurt by taking the time off between OSU-Mich and the Rose Bowl. The Pac 10, on the other hand, hasn't. (Mostly due to USC of late.)

That said, here's my order of likeliness of Pac 10 expansion candidates.

-Utah: fits profile (public university) and is new market
-TCU: Christian school, but a new market (Tejas)
-BYU: Hard core Christian Campbell just moved conferences and will now play on Sunday. If not for the religious issues, BYU would be #1 based on entire athletic program.
-Colorado: They already recruit Calif. heavy, but could lose Tejas connection (unless TCU goes with them)
-UNLV: Logical in the sense of grabbing close state not already associated to Pac 10. Woeful football tradition and still carrying the Tarkanian baggage.
-SDSU: School's profile improving, with new FB stadium a better candidate in 10 years.
-Boise State: a better candidate in 10 years; needs to improve profile of entire department.
-Nevada: If SDSU is 10 years away, Reno is looking at 2035 or later
-Fresno State: No, no and no
-USD: This is ridiculous and should be about 200 lines below other candidates. Let's take Pt. Loma Nazarene, too!

In sum, if the Mtn. West loses Utah, TCU and or BYU, it will recover and cherry pick from its junior circuit: the WAC.